Britain’s in for a heatwave. The shops are already out of charcoal, strawberries are stacked high at the front of supermarkets, and sales of chocolate, butter and sun cream are soaring. Feels like summer, doesn’t it?
But while you’re getting the BBQ out, the prices on everything from burgers to butter have crept up again, even as the RPI index claims inflation is under control.
While families prepare for the first full-blown BBQ weekend of the year, the price of beef, sausages, and your favourite supermarket own-brand coleslaw has quietly crept up again. That’s not just your imagination—it’s inflation, and it’s getting sharper.
But here’s the real kicker: according to the official Retail Price Index (RPI), it’s all being kept in check.
But is that really the truth?
When was the last time the RPI index felt like it reflected your weekly grocery bill? Or your monthly budget? Or anything vaguely tied to the real-life cost of existing in Britain today?
This blog isn’t here to stroke the Chancellor’s ego. It’s for those of us who are paying more and getting less, while being told, politely, that inflation is “transitory” or “moderating” or “within bounds” or some other banal nonsense.
Let’s pull the lid off the RPI barbecue. Because the maths is off, and it’s costing us more than we think.
Sunshine, Sun Cream… and 4.1% Grocery Inflation
Let’s start with the facts.
According to data published this week, UK grocery inflation surged to 4.1% in May 2025, its highest level in over 15 months, primarily driven by rising prices in chocolate, butter and sun care products.
Now, 4.1% may not sound like a crisis to economists in Westminster, but to anyone juggling bills, food shops and mortgage payments, it adds up, fast.
Kantar’s data shows:
- Lidl saw a surge in sales (+11%) as price-conscious consumers hunted for relief.
- Aldi broke a record with an 11.1% market share.
- Even M&S grocery spending spiked 12.3%, likely aided by picnic-friendly weather.
Why?
Because people aren’t stupid, they’re adapting. Dropping brand names. Switching supermarkets. Cutting corners. All while prices in essentials like fresh beef and barbecue staples quietly tick up again.
And still, we’re told by government figures that overall inflation is “under control.”
Except the index being quoted, the RPI or its tamer cousin, the CPI, isn’t actually built to show what’s going on in your basket.
How the Retail Price Index Glosses Over What Matters Most
The RPI index is often regarded as gospel: a tidy, scientific method for measuring how prices are changing.
In theory, it reflects how the cost of a “typical basket” of goods and services moves over time.
In practice? It’s about as reflective of real household spending as a politician’s grocery store photo-op.
Let’s break it down:
- The Retail Prices Index (RPI) and the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) measure inflation across a wide range of goods and services, including items most people don’t buy every week, like televisions, car insurance, or software.
- Meanwhile, high-frequency essentials, such as food, which hit lower-income and inflation-aware households the hardest.
This means that low-frequency technology purchases, which are often kept low due to competition and technological advancements, are combined with high-frequency purchases like groceries. So while food inflation alone hit 2.8% in May (the fourth consecutive month of rises), overall official RPI suggest your cost of living is only slightly up.
This is both misleading and dangerous.
Because when the index used by the government, media, and even pension schemes lags behind reality, people are encouraged to make financial decisions based on fiction.
Let’s be blunt: inflation isn’t uniform, and RPI doesn’t speak for you.
Suppose you’re shopping for a family of four, topping up the car, paying an energy bill, or trying to enjoy a bit of sun without going broke. In that case, your real rate of inflation feels far worse than anything officially reported.
Shrinkflation and Fresh Food Fakery
You’re not just paying more for food, you’re getting less of it.
While RPI headlines a modest rise, the packaging tells a different story. Walk into any supermarket and try to find a chocolate bar, yoghurt, or bag of crisps that hasn’t been trimmed down while the price tag holds firm, or climbs.
This isn’t theoretical.
A 2024 report from Which? highlighted over 300 products that quietly shrank in size or weight across UK retailers.
And here’s where it gets serious: most of the items affected by shrinkflation are fresh food, the things that make up the backbone of a healthy diet. Not optional luxuries, but weekly essentials. Reference here would be great.
Now combine this with what the British Retail Consortium revealed: fresh food prices rose 2.4% year-on-year, largely driven by beef and dairy, impacted by global supply chain disruption and rising operational costs (higher wages, national insurance contributions, packaging taxes).
So we’re not just being hit at the till. We’re being forced, quietly but consistently, into a lower-quality, lower-nutrition lifestyle.
This isn’t just inflation. It’s erosion. And RPI does little to acknowledge it.
The Political Convenience of Underplaying RPI
You might wonder: why does this matter so much? Why should a few points on an index make such a difference?
Because inflation stats aren’t just academic, they’re political tools.
Governments and institutions peg decisions to inflation figures:
- Wage negotiations use CPI/RPI as a baseline.
- Pensions and benefits are uprated using these indexes.
- Tax thresholds (like income tax or capital gains) often move more slowly than inflation, or not at all, eroding your spending power silently.
If the official index downplays real-world inflation, you lose.
Even RPI, despite being higher than CPI, isn’t fully capturing the lived experience of inflation.
Especially for households where food, fuel and utilities make up a larger share of spending. Many people know this game all too well: it’s not just that the system is broken, but it’s also designed that way.
The RPI isn’t broken.
It’s working exactly as intended, for those who control it.
Why TallyMoney Makes the RPI Obsolete, for You
Let’s be honest, fiat inflation metrics like RPI were never built to serve you. They were built to manage expectations, not reality.
So what happens if you stop playing the game?
TallyMoney gives you a real alternative. It’s a gold-based account where every 1 tally equals 1 milligram of physical gold, securely held and owned by you. Store it. Send it. Spend it. Your money, measured in value, not in promises.
You’re not buying a derivative. You’re not speculating. You’re simply stepping outside the shrinking pound and into something that has served as a real store of value for 5,000 years.
More importantly, Tally doesn’t play by fiat’s inflationary rules:
- No printing presses.
- No political tinkering.
- No reliance on central banks.
This isn’t just a hedge, it’s an opt-out. While RPI struggles to explain why groceries are 15% more expensive than they were two years ago, gold’s long-term value remains intact.
And unlike traditional bullion holdings, you can:
- Use your gold directly for everyday purchases with a TallyMoney Debit Mastercard
- Withdraw back into GBP at any time, without friction or delay
- Track your gold balance in real-time alongside its pound equivalent
It’s real ownership, combined with daily practicality.
Escape the Shrinkflation Trap
Shrinkflation isn’t just a product strategy, it’s a symptom of currency decay.
The reason food packaging gets smaller while prices rise is that the money itself is worth less. When the pound buys less each year, businesses adapt, and consumers lose out.
This is exactly what many wealth preservers understand: inflation isn’t some mysterious external force. It’s a deliberate outcome of a debt-fuelled monetary system that sacrifices purchasing power to keep the show going.
With TallyMoney, you’re no longer forced to shrink your lifestyle to fit a collapsing currency.
You can:
- Store value in something historically proven to outpace inflation
- Spend your savings without worrying they’ll be worth 10% less next year
- Break the link between your grocery bill and a government narrative
Most people are stuck reacting to inflation. You can neutralise it entirely, simply by storing your value in something that doesn’t degrade by design.
Reclaim Your Financial Sovereignty
For those who reject the system, gold isn’t a luxury, it’s a statement.
TallyMoney gives you the tools to live by your own values:
- Transparency: Every fee is disclosed. Every gram is accounted for.
- Accessibility: Your gold is usable anywhere Mastercard is accepted.
- Independence: You’re outside the banking system, while remaining fully regulated through Tally’s partners.
No institutions lending out your savings.
No inflation quietly eroding your account.
No reliance on the very metrics you’ve learned not to trust.
For people who already see through the official narrative, this isn’t a stretch, it’s a fit.
When the government says inflation is “only” 2.8%, but your food bill says otherwise, you already know who to believe.
If Inflation Is Real, Your Money Should Be Too
The coming heatwave might melt your ice cream, but the real meltdown is happening in sterling.
Food inflation is on the rise. RPI isn’t reflecting it. And for too many, that gap is quietly robbing them of security, freedom, and choice.
You’ve already seen through the noise.
Now it’s time to opt out of the system and spend money that means something.
Escape the inflation game. Spend real gold instead.
👉 Open your TallyMoney account now
Because if your money isn’t real, your freedom isn’t either.