You may have noticed that gold has dipped in price recently. But before we all head for the lifeboats made of fiat paper, it is worth noting that gold is up over 9% over the last 3 months (and that’s after taking into account this recent dip).
And over the past 12 months, the gold in your Tally Account is up over 50%.
(Plenty of wiggle room there between that and what banks offer you in interest.)
So whilst short term dips may be annoying and feel uncomfortable, please rest assured this is a normal part of the gold price rising over time.
In fact, since the start of the century, gold has grown each year on average by over 12%p.a.
Because what doesn’t change is the big picture. The value of gold rises over time because inflation destroys the value of the pound. And those pounds are not sitting safely at your bank, they are awash as loans in the banking system.
TallyMoney was built to give you a choice. You can choose to use money that’s protected from inflation and risky lending practices within a fragile banking system. You can build your savings in a monetary system with common sense money. Money that rewards good savings habits. Money that is accountable to something real. Of real value. And can’t just be magicked up to fund government overspending and generate fees for banks.
Remember, dips (like politicians) come and go. Inflation remains.
Let’s zoom out for a second
At the start of the year 2000, gold was trading at roughly £5,500 per kilo.
Today, it’s over £105,000 per kilo.
That’s around a 20x increase since the year 2000.
But that rise didn’t happen in a straight line.
Why does gold fluctuate in the short term?
Since the start of the century, gold has gone through plenty of short-term dips. And yet here we are at over £105,000 per kilo.
History shows that despite short term dips, the gold price goes up over the long term.
But why does the price of gold sometimes dip in the short term?
The important thing to understand is that gold doesn’t move in isolation. Its price is always measured against currencies like the pound, which are constantly moving.
And those currencies are constantly shifting based on:
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Government spending
- Central bank policy
Short-term dips in gold are often just reflections of short-term movements in fiat currencies.
But over the long term, the trajectory for gold’s price is upwards.
The part most people miss
Gold isn’t really “going up” in the way we’re often told.
What’s actually happening is the pound, along with other fiat currencies, is losing purchasing power by design.
Here’s what you should know:
- Inflationary targets are part of monetary policy – inflation is not a natural phenomenon, it is a devaluation tool that governments use to fund their overspending
- The money supply has been inflated (i.e. expanded) causing each unit of currency to be worth less
- Savings held in cash have steadily lost value in real terms
The increasing gold price simply reflects that erosion.
Gold can’t be printed. It can’t be diluted. It doesn’t depend on a central bank’s decisions.
It just holds its value, and over time, that shows up as a rising price.
When in doubt, zoom out
Short-term movements can feel uncomfortable. That’s human.
But nothing ever moves in a straight line.
If you zoom in on the gold price, or more accurately the value of the pound:
- You’ll see dips
- You’ll see volatility
- You’ll see noise
If you zoom out:
- You’ll see a consistent long-term norm
And that trend is the status quo that matters.
A final thought
Gold has been doing its job for thousands of years. It’s never been ‘too big too fail’ unlike what we saw with the banking crisis in 2008.
It can’t promise a straight line when it is measured in something that fluctuates in value. And the gold price doesn’t avoid short-term dips.
But it does offer something increasingly rare: A way to protect and preserve value over time.
So if you see a dip, don’t panic. Short term fluctuations are normal. And give a thought to: “the amount (i.e. milligrams in a tally account) of physical gold isn’t changing, so what is changing?”
TallyMoney gives you a way to build and protect your savings over the long term because as history shows, the gold price grows over the long term.